Elections for all 100 seats in the Virginia House of Delegates are taking place on November 2, 2021. Democrats hold 55 seats and Republicans hold 45 seats. This is the first election cycle since 1999 with Democrats defending a majority in the chamber.

Ballotpedia has identified 22 battleground races in these elections. Sixteen are in Democrat-held districts, and six are in Republican-held districts. Based on analysis of these districts’ electoral histories, these races have the potential to be more competitive than other races and could possibly lead to shifts in a chamber’s partisan balance.

Elections were selected as battleground races if they fit one or more of the four factors listed below:

1. The 2019 winner received less than 55 percent of the vote.
2. The presidential candidate who won the district in 2020 is of a different party than the 2019 winner in the district, and the 2019 winner won by a margin of 10 percentage points or less.
3. The presidential candidate who won the district in 2020 is of a different party than the 2019 winner in the district, and the incumbent is not on the ballot this year.
4. The presidential candidate who won the district in 2020 is of a different party than the 2019 winner in the district, and that presidential candidate won the district by a margin of 20 percentage points or more.

Five battleground districts with the most fundraising

#1 District 10 – $1,427,115.04

Incumbent Wendy Gooditis (D) raised $713,788.18 while Nick Clemente (R) raised $713,326.86.

The Democratic candidate won 52-48 in the 2019 general election.

#2 District 40 – $1,100,583.90

Incumbent Dan Helmer (D) raised $751,851.02 while Harold Pyon (R) raised $348,732.88.

The Democratic candidate won 52-48 in the 2019 general election.

#3 District 31 – $1,029,964.75

Incumbent Elizabeth Guzman (D) raised $918,627.01 while Ben Baldwin (R) raised $111,337.74.

The Democratic candidate won 52-48 in the 2019 general election.

#4 District 12 – $935,729.31

Incumbent Chris Hurst (D) raised $666,962.18 while Jason Ballard (R) raised $268,767.13.

The Democratic candidate won 54-46 in the 2019 general election.

#5 District 73 – $928,158.74

Incumbent Rodney Willett (D) raised $643,732.59 while Mary Margaret Kastelberg (R) raised $284,426.15.

The Democratic candidate won 52-48 in the 2019 general election.

The data above are based on campaign finance reports that active Virginia candidate political action committees (candidate PACs) submitted to the Virginia Department of Elections. It includes fundraising activity between Jan. 1, 2020, and Aug. 31, 2021. Candidate PACs represent individuals who have run for state or local office at any point, including past and present officeholders. This article does not include non-candidate PACs.

This article was published in partnership with Ballotpedia. Click here to learn more about that partnership.